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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
26%
Albini
74%
Arlovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
JA
Junior Albini
"Baby"
14 – 6
6'3"74" reachOrthodox35 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 17
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 49
β˜… Official Result
Andrei ArlovskiwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Junior Albini Β· UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
β†’
Actual result
Arlovski wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Albini has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Albini's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AlbiniArlovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Albini
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albini
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
49.1
44.0
Performance Avg
50.5
60
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
94
Albini
Arlovski
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
0.4
Style: Volume
5.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
0
Body
9
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance28
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Albini
Arlovski
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albini
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
8
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
5/20 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Albini
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
39
94
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Albini
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
48%
1
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Albini
Arlovski
Striking10.0 / 5.0Volume0.4 / 5.3Grappling0.0 / 1.9Wrestling0.0 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure7.6 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Albini
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Albini
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Arlovski
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Albini targets the head (83% of attacks) β€” Arlovski absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Albini absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Albini
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0

Albini Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Maurice Greene
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
L Β· KO Β· R2
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Aleksei Oleinik
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Β· 2018-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Andrei Arlovski
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis Β· 2017-11
W Β· KO Β· R1
Timothy Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum Β· 2017-07

Arlovski Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Martin Buday
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Β· 2024-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 Β· 2024-01
L Β· KO Β· R2
Don'Tale Mayes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Β· 2023-06
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen Β· 2022-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Jake Collier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera Β· 2022-04

News & Media

Junior Albini Β· Andrei Arlovski
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