UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
26%
Albini
74%
Arlovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JA
Junior Albini
"Baby"
14 – 6
6'3"74" reachOrthodox35 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 17
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Albini has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Albini has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Albini's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Albini
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
35+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albini
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
49.1
44.0
Performance Avg
50.5
60
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
94
Albini
Arlovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
0
Body
9
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance28
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Albini
Arlovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albini
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
8
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/20 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Albini
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
94
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Albini
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
48%
1
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Albini
Arlovski
Striking10.0 / 5.0Volume0.4 / 5.3Grappling0.0 / 1.9Wrestling0.0 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure7.6 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Albini
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Albini
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Arlovski
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Albini targets the head (83% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (63% of attacks) — Albini absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Albini
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0

Albini · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.0W6.2L1.5L3.8L1.5L2017-072017-112018-052019-022019-06
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Albini · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Maurice GreeneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
W · KO · R1
Timothy JohnsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Junior Albini · Andrei Arlovski
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