UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Andrade
49%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
5'1"62" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Andrade

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 51% vs Rodriguez at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Andrade
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
62"
Reach
+65"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
48.6
49.4
Performance Avg
41.7
45
Quality of Victory
34
79
Momentum Score
83
Andrade
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
27
5
Body
4
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
33Distance28
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Andrade
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Andrade
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
83
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Andrade
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Rodriguez
Striking4.7 / 3.9Volume4.9 / 6.8Grappling2.5 / 1.7Wrestling1.8 / 1.2Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Andrade
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Andrade
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY16LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD4BODY0LEGS31 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
27HEAD4BODY0LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY16LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (87% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Jessica Andrade · Marina Rodriguez
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