METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
86%
Beal
14%
Matsuda
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris BealwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tateki Matsuda · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Beal
→
Actual result
Beal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Beal is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Beal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BealMatsuda
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Beal
Matsuda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beal
Matsuda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
2.7
40.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Beal
Matsuda
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
2
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance7
2Clinch1
10Ground0
Beal
Matsuda
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Beal
Matsuda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Beal
Matsuda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Beal
Matsuda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beal
Matsuda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BealMatsuda
Strike Zones
Beal
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMatsuda
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beal targets the head (85% of attacks) — Matsuda absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Matsuda targets the head (50% of attacks) — Beal absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beal
RND
Matsuda
0/0R00/0
Beal · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe SotoSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
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Matsuda · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Chris BealDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09