UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
86%
Beal
14%
Matsuda
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CB
Chris Beal
"Real Deal"
10 – 5
5'7"69" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
TM
Tateki Matsuda
"Tech"
13 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox5'7"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Beal

Beal is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Beal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Beal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Beal
Matsuda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beal
Matsuda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
2.7
40.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Beal
Matsuda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
35%
Strike Accuracy
26%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
2
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance7
2Clinch1
10Ground0
Beal
Matsuda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beal
Matsuda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Beal
Matsuda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Beal
Matsuda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Beal
Matsuda
Striking5.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Beal
Strike Zones
Matsuda
Beal
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Matsuda
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Beal targets the head (85% of attacks) — Matsuda absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Matsuda targets the head (50% of attacks) — Beal absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Beal
RND
Matsuda
0/0R00/0

Beal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.0L2014-042014-092015-012015-082016-06
WinLossTrend

Matsuda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2014-092015-01
WinLossTrend

Beal · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe SotoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04

Matsuda · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09

News & Media

Chris Beal · Tateki Matsuda
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