METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
48%
Holloway
52%
Allen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Arnold Allen · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 48% vs Allen at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayAllen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holloway
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
62.3
57.7
Performance Avg
52.8
48
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
100
Holloway
Allen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
4.7
4.8
Style: Volume
6.9
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
17
8
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance20
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Allen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
16/25 fights
Holloway
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holloway
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
33%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
HollowayAllen
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAllen
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (64% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (85% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Aaron PicoUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01