UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
47%
Holloway
53%
Allen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
27 – 9
5'11"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 47% vs Allen at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holloway
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+70"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holloway
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
62.3
56.8
Performance Avg
52.8
47
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
100
Holloway
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
10 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
17
8
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance20
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Holloway
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Holloway
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
33%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holloway
Allen
Striking5.8 / 3.3Volume4.9 / 6.9Grappling1.7 / 2.9Wrestling1.2 / 2.0Submission0.9 / 1.7Pressure5.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Holloway
Strike Zones
Allen
Holloway
Attacking
21HEAD8BODY4LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Allen
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD8BODY4LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (64% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (85% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holloway
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W4.6W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.6W6.6L6.8L5.5W7.1L5.7W2015-062019-032022-032024-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Allen · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Max Holloway · Arnold Allen
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