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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
46%
Holland
54%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:34
Kevin
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 55
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:34
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Holland wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 46% vs Oleksiejczuk at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HollandOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
81"+
Reach
74"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
54.6
49.3
Performance Avg
55.3
44
Quality of Victory
53
51
Momentum Score
52
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
2.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
3
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Oleksiejczuk
Striking4.3 / 9.2Volume3.6 / 2.8Grappling3.8 / 0.5Wrestling2.6 / 0.3Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Holland
Strike Zones
Oleksiejczuk
Holland
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (63% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (63% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Kevin Holland · Michal Oleksiejczuk
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