UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Flyweight
VS
63%
Hadley
37%
Gordon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:01
Jake
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
11 – 4
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Malcolm
Malcolm Gordon
"X"
14 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsSwitch71" reach5'7"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hadley

Hadley holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Gordon has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hadley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gordon has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hadley
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
29+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Hadley
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
28.5
44.0
Performance Avg
36.9
45
Quality of Victory
43
67
Momentum Score
10
Hadley
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Hadley
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hadley
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Hadley
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
10
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hadley
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hadley
Gordon
Striking4.2 / 5.6Volume3.5 / 4.6Grappling3.5 / 1.2Wrestling2.4 / 0.8Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Hadley
Strike Zones
Gordon
Hadley
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hadley targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hadley
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hadley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.2W5.0W5.6L6.4L4.6W5.5L2022-052023-032024-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0102.8L2.1L4.5W5.0W5.4L2.2L3.2L2020-072021-072022-102024-01
WinLossTrend

Hadley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Denys BondarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

News & Media

Jake Hadley · Malcolm Gordon
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