METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Flyweight
VS
67%
Hadley
33%
Gordon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:01
★ Official Result
Jake HadleywinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:01
def. Malcolm Gordon · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hadley
→
Actual result
Hadley wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Hadley holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Gordon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gordon has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HadleyGordon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hadley
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Hadley
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
23.7
44.0
Performance Avg
36.9
45
Quality of Victory
43
67
Momentum Score
10
Hadley
Gordon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.5
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Hadley
Gordon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hadley
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Hadley
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
10
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hadley
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hadley
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
HadleyGordon
Strike Zones
Hadley
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGordon
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hadley targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hadley
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hadley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonKO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickSubmission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Denys BondarKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoDecision
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