METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Middleweight
VS
54%
Kelly
46%
Walsh
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel KellywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Patrick Walsh · UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelly
→
Actual result
Kelly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 54% vs Walsh at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kelly's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KellyWalsh
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelly
Walsh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
48
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
—
Kelly
Walsh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
13.5
44.4
Performance Avg
35.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
46
Kelly
Walsh
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
1.5
6.5
Style: Volume
9.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kelly
Walsh
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelly
Walsh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Kelly
Walsh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kelly
Walsh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelly
Walsh
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
KellyWalsh
Strike Zones
Kelly
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWalsh
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (96% of attacks) — Walsh absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Walsh targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelly
RND
Walsh
0/0R00/0
Kelly · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
Walsh · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SpohnDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07