UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Camur
40%
Ledet
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AC
Aleksa Camur
6 – 3
6'1"74" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
JL
Justin Ledet
"El Blanco"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Camur

Camur holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ledet has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Camur has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ledet has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Camur
Ledet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+80"
30+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camur
Ledet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
14.5
25.0
Performance Avg
37.9
25
Quality of Victory
35
28
Momentum Score
53
Camur
Ledet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
9
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance12
3Clinch1
1Ground0
Camur
Ledet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camur
Ledet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Camur
Ledet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Camur
Ledet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Camur
Ledet
Striking0.5 / 0.9Volume8.5 / 6.2Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.8 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Camur
Strike Zones
Ledet
Camur
Attacking
11HEAD9BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Ledet
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD9BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Camur targets the head (46% of attacks) — Ledet absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Ledet targets the head (92% of attacks) — Camur absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Camur
RND
Ledet
0/0R00/0

Camur · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L5.5L6.1L2020-012020-092021-062023-08
WinLossTrend

Ledet · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.6L2.3L5.5L2.9L2016-082017-092019-022020-10
WinLossTrend

Camur · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Justin LedetRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Ledet · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Azunna AnyanwuRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09

News & Media

Aleksa Camur · Justin Ledet
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