UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
81%
Pena
19%
Montano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Julianna
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
13 – 6
5'6"69" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
NM
Nicco Montano
5 – 3
Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'5"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pena

Pena is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Pena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pena's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pena
Montano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
65"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pena
Montano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.6
15.4
58.0
Performance Avg
42.5
52
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
46
Pena
Montano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
5
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance14
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Pena
Montano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pena
Montano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Pena
Montano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Pena
Montano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pena
Montano
Striking3.8 / 1.0Volume5.3 / 9.0Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Pena
Strike Zones
Montano
Pena
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD7BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Montano
Attacking
5HEAD7BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (75% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Montano targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pena
RND
Montano
0/0R00/0

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.2L5.5W6.3W6.7L5.1W4.3L2013-112016-072020-102022-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Montano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W7.0L2017-122019-07
WinLossTrend

Pena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

Montano · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12

News & Media

Julianna Pena · Nicco Montano
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