METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
81%
Pena
19%
Montano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Julianna PenawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nicco Montano · UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pena
→
Actual result
Pena wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pena is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Pena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pena's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenaMontano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pena
Montano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
65"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pena
Montano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.6
15.4
58.0
Performance Avg
42.5
52
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
46
Pena
Montano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
5
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance14
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Pena
Montano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pena
Montano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Pena
Montano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Pena
Montano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pena
Montano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PenaMontano
Strike Zones
Pena
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedMontano
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (75% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Montano targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pena
RND
Montano
0/0R00/0
Pena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Montano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Pena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
Montano · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12