UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Carwin
43%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SC
Shane Carwin
"The Engineer"
12 – 2
6'2"80" reachOrthodox51 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 25
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
Striker4-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carwin

This is a genuine toss-up — Carwin at 57% vs Santos at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Carwin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Carwin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Carwin
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
51
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carwin
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
18.7
68.7
Performance Avg
57.8
70
Quality of Victory
53
65
Momentum Score
59
Carwin
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
21
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance22
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Carwin
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carwin
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
0
Never stopped
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Carwin
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Carwin
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carwin
Santos
Striking10.0 / 8.0Volume1.3 / 4.0Grappling0.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure9.0 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Carwin
Strike Zones
Santos
Carwin
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carwin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (91% of attacks) — Carwin absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carwin
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Carwin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.1L5.5L2008-052008-102009-032010-032010-072011-06
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Carwin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R2
Brock LesnarRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · KO · R1
Neil WainRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

News & Media

Shane Carwin · Junior Dos Santos
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