METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Lightweight
VS
55%
Madsen
45%
Hubbard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mark MadsenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Austin Hubbard · UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Madsen
→
Actual result
Madsen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Madsen at 55% vs Hubbard at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Madsen's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hubbard has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MadsenHubbard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Madsen
Hubbard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Madsen
Hubbard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
31.7
46.9
Performance Avg
28.7
34
Quality of Victory
26
79
Momentum Score
41
Madsen
Hubbard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
1.0
7.3
Style: Volume
6.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
19
0
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance24
2Clinch3
1Ground0
Madsen
Hubbard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Madsen
Hubbard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
64
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Madsen
Hubbard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Madsen
Hubbard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Madsen
Hubbard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
MadsenHubbard
Strike Zones
Madsen
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedHubbard
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Madsen targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Hubbard targets the head (70% of attacks) — Madsen absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Madsen
RND
Hubbard
0/0R00/0
Madsen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
Hubbard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal FiglakDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Kurt HolobaughSubmission
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