★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
55%
Rousey
45%
Correia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rousey
This is a genuine toss-up — Rousey at 55% vs Correia at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rousey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 64 points.
Rousey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rousey's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rousey
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rousey
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
25.0
87.0
Performance Avg
36.8
95
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
88
Rousey
Correia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
14Clinch6
0Ground0
Rousey
Correia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rousey
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Rousey
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Rousey
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rousey
Correia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
RouseyCorreia
Strike Zones
Rousey
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCorreia
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rousey targets the head (89% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rousey absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rousey
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rousey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rousey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Holly HolmRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Bethe CorreiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Alexis DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06