METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
76%
Matthews
24%
Martin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:19
★ Official Result
Anthony Rocco MartinwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:19
def. Jake Matthews · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matthews
→
Actual result
Martin wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Matthews is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsMartin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
17.5
48.4
Performance Avg
45.3
36
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Matthews
Martin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
4.9
5.3
Style: Volume
5.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Matthews
Martin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
6
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Matthews
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Matthews
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MatthewsMartin
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMartin
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the body (100% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12