UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Welterweight
VS
89%
Hathaway
11%
McCray
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JH
John Hathaway
"The Hitman"
17 – 2
6'1"75" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
KM
Kris McCray
"Savage"
8 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hathaway

Hathaway is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hathaway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.

Hathaway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hathaway
McCray
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hathaway
McCray
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
2.1
49.1
Performance Avg
0.0
30
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Hathaway
McCray
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
5
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch2
9Ground0
Hathaway
McCray
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hathaway
McCray
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Hathaway
McCray
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Hathaway
McCray
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hathaway
McCray
Striking3.0 / 0.0Volume8.4 / 0.0Grappling2.1 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hathaway
Strike Zones
McCray
Hathaway
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
McCray
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hathaway targets the head (67% of attacks) — McCray absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯McCray targets the head (43% of attacks) — Hathaway absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hathaway
RND
McCray
0/0R00/0

Hathaway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L2009-012010-052012-052014-03
WinLossTrend

McCray · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0102.9L1.5L5.5L2010-062010-112011-03
WinLossTrend

Hathaway · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Pascal KraussRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Kris McCrayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

McCray · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Sub · R1
Carlos Eduardo RochaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Court McGeeRating 2.9
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

News & Media

John Hathaway · Kris McCray
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