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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
43%
Cortez
57%
Gatto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tracy
Tracy Cortez
123
5'5"65" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Melissa
Melissa Gatto
93
Striker30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'5"
CFR 55
★ Official Result
Tracy CortezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Melissa Gatto · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gatto
Actual result
Cortez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cortez at 43% vs Gatto at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gatto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CortezGatto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cortez
Gatto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+69"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cortez
Gatto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
55.3
41.9
Performance Avg
48.5
25
Quality of Victory
48
50
Momentum Score
59
Cortez
Gatto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
2.0
Style: Pressure
6.2
9.3
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
6
2
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance6
1Clinch0
11Ground2
Cortez
Gatto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cortez
Gatto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Cortez
Gatto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Cortez
Gatto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cortez
Gatto
Striking1.3 / 7.7Volume9.3 / 1.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Cortez
Strike Zones
Gatto
Cortez
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Gatto
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cortez targets the head (81% of attacks) — Gatto absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Gatto targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cortez
RND
Gatto
0/0R00/0

Cortez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Wang Cong
Decision
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin Blanchfield
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane Araujo
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose Namajunas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Decision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Gatto · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dione Barbosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Tamires Vidal
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Ariane da Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy Cortez
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R3
Sijara Eubanks
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Tracy Cortez · Melissa Gatto
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