UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Cortez
52%
Gatto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tracy
Tracy Cortez
12 – 3
5'5"65" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Melissa
Melissa Gatto
9 – 3
Striker30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'5"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gatto

This is a genuine toss-up — Cortez at 48% vs Gatto at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gatto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Gatto throws more volume but Cortez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Cortez
Gatto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+69"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cortez
Gatto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
53.2
45.0
Performance Avg
45.5
25
Quality of Victory
43
75
Momentum Score
59
Cortez
Gatto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
6
2
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance6
1Clinch0
11Ground2
Cortez
Gatto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cortez
Gatto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Cortez
Gatto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
59
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Cortez
Gatto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cortez
Gatto
Striking1.5 / 7.7Volume9.5 / 1.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.3 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Cortez
Strike Zones
Gatto
Cortez
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Gatto
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cortez targets the head (81% of attacks) — Gatto absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Gatto targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cortez
RND
Gatto
0/0R00/0

Cortez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W4.5W5.4W5.4W6.9L5.2W4.3L2019-112021-042023-092025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Gatto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.2W5.5W6.2L5.5L6.0W6.2L2021-082021-122022-052023-072024-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Cortez · Last 5

Upcoming
Wang Cong
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Gatto · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Tamires VidalRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Tracy Cortez · Melissa Gatto
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