METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Welterweight
VS
60%
Johnson
40%
Hardy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Hardy · UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hardy has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
15.4
60.4
Performance Avg
46.0
55
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
38
Johnson
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
34%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
11 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
4Clinch0
3Ground0
Johnson
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Johnson
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
38
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Johnson
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
33%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
JohnsonHardy
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHardy
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10