METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Welterweight
VS
60%
Johnson
40%
Hardy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Hardy · UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hardy has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
15.4
60.4
Performance Avg
46.0
55
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
38
Johnson
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
4.1
2.6
Style: Volume
6.5
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
4Clinch0
3Ground0
Johnson
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Johnson
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
38
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Johnson
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
33%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
JohnsonHardy
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHardy
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaKO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigKO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleSubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditKO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10