METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Featherweight
VS
28%
Semerzier
72%
Pineda
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:05
MS
Mackens Semerzier
"Da Menace"
84
5'9"72" reachOrthodox45 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 21
Daniel
Daniel Pineda
"The Pit"
2817
Submission Hunter3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 53
★ Official Result
Daniel PinedawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:05
def. Mackens Semerzier · UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pineda
Actual result
Pineda wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pineda is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Pineda has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SemerzierPineda
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Semerzier
Pineda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Semerzier
Pineda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
52.9
52.4
Performance Avg
47.4
54
Quality of Victory
53
59
Momentum Score
85
Semerzier
Pineda
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
8.2
1.0
Style: Volume
0.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
2
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance10
3Clinch3
0Ground1
Semerzier
Pineda
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
6.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.5
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
8.0
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Semerzier
Pineda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
14/45 fights
Semerzier
Pineda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Semerzier
Pineda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Semerzier
Pineda
Striking1.0 / 2.8Volume1.0 / 0.8Grappling8.0 / 6.4Wrestling5.6 / 4.5Submission10.0 / 8.0Pressure8.5 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Semerzier
Strike Zones
Pineda
Semerzier
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Pineda
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Semerzier targets the head (44% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Pineda targets the head (79% of attacks) — Semerzier absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Semerzier
RND
Pineda
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Semerzier · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Daniel Pineda
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Upcoming
Robert Peralta
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Alex Caceres
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03

Pineda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Darren Elkins
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel Wood
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex Caceres
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Sub · R2
Tucker Lutz
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Upcoming
Andre Fili
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

News & Media

Mackens Semerzier · Daniel Pineda
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours