UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Featherweight
VS
28%
Semerzier
72%
Pineda
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:05
MS
Mackens Semerzier
"Da Menace"
8 – 4
5'9"72" reachOrthodox45 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 21
Daniel
Daniel Pineda
"The Pit"
28 – 17
Submission Hunter3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pineda

Pineda is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Semerzier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pineda has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Semerzier
Pineda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
45
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Semerzier
Pineda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
52.9
52.4
Performance Avg
47.4
54
Quality of Victory
53
59
Momentum Score
85
Semerzier
Pineda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
60%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
2
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance10
3Clinch3
0Ground1
Semerzier
Pineda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Semerzier
Pineda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
14/45 fights
Semerzier
Pineda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Semerzier
Pineda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Semerzier
Pineda
Striking1.0 / 2.8Volume1.0 / 0.8Grappling8.0 / 6.4Wrestling5.6 / 4.5Submission10.0 / 8.0Pressure8.5 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Semerzier
Strike Zones
Pineda
Semerzier
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Pineda
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Semerzier targets the head (44% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Pineda targets the head (79% of attacks) — Semerzier absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Semerzier
RND
Pineda
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Semerzier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.2W2.4L2011-032012-03
WinLossTrend

Pineda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.6W3.3L5.2W5.7L6.3L6.0L2012-012013-042020-122024-10
WinLossTrend

Semerzier · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaRating 2.4
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Upcoming
Robert Peralta
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03

Pineda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Sub · R2
Tucker LutzRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Upcoming
Andre Fili
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

News & Media

Mackens Semerzier · Daniel Pineda
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