UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Oct 2021
Bantamweight
VS
73%
Gutierrez
27%
Colares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Chris
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22 – 7
5'9"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
FC
Felipe Colares
"Cabocao"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gutierrez

Gutierrez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gutierrez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gutierrez
Colares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gutierrez
Colares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
16.4
49.3
Performance Avg
28.3
35
Quality of Victory
25
25
Momentum Score
30
Gutierrez
Colares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.7
61%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
8
5
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance10
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Gutierrez
Colares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gutierrez
Colares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Gutierrez
Colares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
30
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gutierrez
Colares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gutierrez
Colares
Striking4.4 / 0.7Volume7.0 / 8.7Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Gutierrez
Strike Zones
Colares
Gutierrez
Attacking
29HEAD5BODY6LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Colares
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD5BODY6LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (73% of attacks) — Colares absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Colares targets the head (80% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gutierrez
RND
Colares
0/0R00/0

Gutierrez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.0W6.0L5.1W6.8L5.0W5.3W7.0L2018-112021-022023-042025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Colares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.5W6.4L4.5W6.0L4.8L2019-022019-072020-012021-052021-102022-05
WinLossTrend

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Colares · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Chase HooperRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
W · Dec · R3
Domingo PilarteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07

News & Media

Chris Gutierrez · Felipe Colares
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