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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Welterweight
VS
51%
Chiesa
49%
Price
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:03
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
207
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
1611
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 48
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:03
def. Niko Price · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 51% vs Price at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaPrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Chiesa
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
48.4
53.3
Performance Avg
46.0
43
Quality of Victory
49
50
Momentum Score
65
Chiesa
Price
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
6.5
4.6
Style: Volume
2.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Chiesa
Price
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
9
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Chiesa
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
65
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chiesa
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
9
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chiesa
Price
Striking1.4 / 5.8Volume4.6 / 2.8Grappling5.8 / 2.6Wrestling4.0 / 1.8Submission6.0 / 2.5Pressure6.3 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Chiesa
Strike Zones
Price
Chiesa
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Price
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the body (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chiesa
RND
Price
0/0R00/0

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko Price
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max Griffin
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony Ferguson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin Holland
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

Price · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Michael Chiesa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay Veretennikov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe Smith
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba Gorimbo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex Morono
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Michael Chiesa · Niko Price
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