METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Welterweight
VS
51%
Chiesa
49%
Price
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:03
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:03
def. Niko Price · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 51% vs Price at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Price has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaPrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
48.4
53.3
Performance Avg
46.0
43
Quality of Victory
49
50
Momentum Score
65
Chiesa
Price
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
2.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Chiesa
Price
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chiesa
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Chiesa
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
65
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chiesa
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
9
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
ChiesaPrice
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPrice
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the body (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06