UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Lightweight
VS
16%
Held
84%
Haqparast
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MH
Marcin Held
23 – 7
5'9"71" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 9
Nasrat
Nasrat Haqparast
18 – 6
Well-Rounded30 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Haqparast

Haqparast is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Haqparast has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Haqparast has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Held
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Held
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.3
48.0
25.0
Performance Avg
45.6
25
Quality of Victory
32
22
Momentum Score
72
Held
Haqparast
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
2.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Held
Haqparast
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Held
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Held
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
72
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Held
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Held
Haqparast
Striking0.5 / 3.3Volume8.5 / 7.7Grappling2.4 / 1.9Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Held
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Held
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Haqparast
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Held targets the head (75% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (100% of attacks) — Held absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Held
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Held · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L4.0L5.2W2016-112017-012017-052017-10
WinLossTrend

Haqparast · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.6W4.5W5.9W2.7L4.5W5.3W6.4L6.2L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.9W5.2W3.6L2017-102020-012022-022024-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Held · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Dec · R3
Diego SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11

Haqparast · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Marcin Held · Nasrat Haqparast
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