UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Lightweight
VS
53%
Fan
47%
Steele
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:56
Dom
Dom Mar Fan
"Street Buddha"
9 – 3
5'11"75" reachOrthodox26 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 72
Kody
Kody Steele
8 – 1
Submission Hunter31 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fan

This is a genuine toss-up — Fan at 53% vs Steele at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Fan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Fan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Fan
Steele
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fan
Steele
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.9
63.2
80.0
Performance Avg
52.4
100
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
71
Fan
Steele
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
27%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Fan
Steele
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fan
Steele
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Fan
Steele
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
71
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Fan
Steele
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fan
Steele
Striking1.0 / 1.0Volume9.0 / 1.0Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.5 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Fan
Strike Zones
Steele
Fan
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Steele
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fan targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Steele absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Steele targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fan
RND
Steele
0/0R00/0

Fan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.5W2.9L2026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Steele · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.4
0106.0L6.8W2025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Fan · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Kody SteeleRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Sangwook KimRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01

Steele · Last 2

W · Sub · R1
Dom Mar FanRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuRating 6
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

News & Media

Dom Mar Fan · Kody Steele
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