METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Welterweight
VS
57%
Fakhretdinov
43%
Leal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rinat FakhretdinovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carlos Leal · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fakhretdinov
→
Actual result
Fakhretdinov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fakhretdinov at 57% vs Leal at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FakhretdinovLeal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.7
50.9
61.4
Performance Avg
45.5
36
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
60
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.0
7.3
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
41
Head
28
7
Body
8
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
41Distance35
11Clinch7
0Ground0
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fakhretdinov
Leal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
FakhretdinovLeal
Strike Zones
Fakhretdinov
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedLeal
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fakhretdinov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Leal absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Leal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Fakhretdinov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fakhretdinov
RND
Leal
0/0R00/0
Fakhretdinov · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Andreas GustafssonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlos LealDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Upcoming
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Leal · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10