UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
94%
Parke
6%
Kotani
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Parke
Parke is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Parke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Striking split: Parke throws more volume but Kotani connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kotani has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Parke
Kotani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
66"
39+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Parke
Kotani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
1.1
52.6
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Parke
Kotani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch0
14Ground0
Parke
Kotani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parke
Kotani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
40
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/29 fights
Chin rating based on
5/48 fights
Parke
Kotani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Parke
Kotani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parke
Kotani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ParkeKotani
Strike Zones
Parke
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedKotani
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parke targets the head (76% of attacks) — Kotani absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Kotani targets the head (50% of attacks) — Parke absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parke
RND
Kotani
0/0R00/0
Parke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kotani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Parke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · KO · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
Kotani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R2
Yan CabralRating 2.8Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R2
Norman ParkeRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09
L · Dec · R3
Thiago TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04