UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Heavyweight
VS
62%
Oleinik
38%
Hamilton
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
6'2"80" reachOrthodox48 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 27
AH
Anthony Hamilton
"Freight Train"
15 – 9
Striker4-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'5"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleinik

Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hamilton has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hamilton has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hamilton has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oleinik
Hamilton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
80"+
Reach
76"
48
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Hamilton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
16.2
52.0
Performance Avg
40.0
51
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
72
Oleinik
Hamilton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
63%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Oleinik
Hamilton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Hamilton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Oleinik
Hamilton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
72
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Oleinik
Hamilton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oleinik
Hamilton
Striking2.2 / 7.3Volume1.9 / 3.3Grappling6.5 / 0.8Wrestling4.5 / 0.6Submission7.8 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Oleinik
Strike Zones
Hamilton
Oleinik
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Hamilton
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hamilton absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Hamilton targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oleinik
RND
Hamilton
0/0R00/0

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Hamilton · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0101.5L5.2W1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W1.9L1.5L1.5L5.5L2014-062015-042016-122017-11
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Hamilton · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Adam WieczorekRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Daniel SpitzRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Marcel FortunaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Sub · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Damian GrabowskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Aleksei Oleinik · Anthony Hamilton
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