METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Heavyweight
VS
62%
Oleinik
38%
Hamilton
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
★ Official Result
Aleksei OleinikwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:18
def. Anthony Hamilton · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleinik
→
Actual result
Oleinik wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hamilton has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hamilton has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OleinikHamilton
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oleinik
Hamilton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
80"+
Reach
76"
49
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Hamilton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
16.2
52.0
Performance Avg
40.0
51
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
72
Oleinik
Hamilton
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
5.6
1.9
Style: Volume
3.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance5
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Oleinik
Hamilton
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
7.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oleinik
Hamilton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Oleinik
Hamilton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
72
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Oleinik
Hamilton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oleinik
Hamilton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
OleinikHamilton
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHamilton
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hamilton absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Hamilton targets the head (83% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oleinik
RND
Hamilton
0/0R00/0
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
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Hamilton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Adam WieczorekDecision
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L · KO · R1
Daniel SpitzKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Marcel FortunaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Sub · R1
Francis NgannouSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Damian GrabowskiKO/TKO
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