METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Welterweight
VS
89%
Vagaev
11%
Izagakhmaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Abubakar VagaevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Saygid Izagakhmaev · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vagaev
→
Actual result
Vagaev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Vagaev is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vagaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VagaevIzagakhmaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
—
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
7.7
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
10.0
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/25 fights
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vagaev
Izagakhmaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VagaevIzagakhmaev
Strike Zones
Vagaev
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedIzagakhmaev
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vagaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Izagakhmaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Izagakhmaev targets the head (85% of attacks) — Vagaev absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vagaev
RND
Izagakhmaev
0/0R00/0
Vagaev · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Izagakhmaev · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Abubakar VagaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11