UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Lightweight
VS
52%
Dariush
48%
Chiesa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dariush
This is a genuine toss-up — Dariush at 52% vs Chiesa at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dariush has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dariush's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiesa has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dariush
Chiesa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dariush
Chiesa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.9
50.7
50.4
Performance Avg
53.3
39
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
50
Dariush
Chiesa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Dariush
Chiesa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
5
Submission wins
9
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dariush
Chiesa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/31 fights
Chin rating based on
22/27 fights
Dariush
Chiesa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Dariush
Chiesa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
9
9
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dariush
Chiesa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DariushChiesa
Strike Zones
Dariush
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedChiesa
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dariush targets the body (40% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dariush
RND
Chiesa
0/0R00/0
Dariush · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Chiesa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dariush · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 5.3Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

