METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Catch Weight
VS
42%
Veretennikov
58%
Vanderford
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:13
★ Official Result
Austin VanderfordwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:13
def. Nikolay Veretennikov · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vanderford
→
Actual result
Vanderford wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Veretennikov at 42% vs Vanderford at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vanderford has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Veretennikov's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VeretennikovVanderford
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
60.5
38.8
Performance Avg
53.0
43
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
59
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.5
4.7
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
30
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground30
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
59
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Veretennikov
Vanderford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
VeretennikovVanderford
Strike Zones
Veretennikov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedVanderford
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Veretennikov targets the body (50% of attacks) — Vanderford absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Vanderford targets the head (97% of attacks) — Veretennikov absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Veretennikov
RND
Vanderford
0/0R00/0
Veretennikov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Austin VanderfordKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
Vanderford · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Ramiz BrahimajSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02