UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
30 Oct 2021
Flyweight
VS
46%
Ulanbekov
54%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nascimento
This is a genuine toss-up — Ulanbekov at 46% vs Nascimento at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ulanbekov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
65.4
50.3
Performance Avg
55.0
34
Quality of Victory
38
80
Momentum Score
100
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground2
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ulanbekov
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
UlanbekovNascimento
Strike Zones
Ulanbekov
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ulanbekov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ulanbekov
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
Ulanbekov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Nascimento · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Ulanbekov · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 5.5Submission
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Nascimento · Last 5
Upcoming
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