UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
59%
Barzola
41%
Aguilar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barzola
This is a genuine toss-up — Barzola at 59% vs Aguilar at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barzola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Barzola has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Barzola
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barzola
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
10.8
49.2
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
35
Barzola
Aguilar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
13
2
Body
7
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance21
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Barzola
Aguilar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barzola
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Barzola
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
35
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Barzola
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barzola
Aguilar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BarzolaAguilar
Strike Zones
Barzola
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedAguilar
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barzola targets the head (71% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the head (62% of attacks) — Barzola absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barzola
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0
Barzola · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Aguilar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barzola · Last 5
Upcoming
Rani YahyaDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Bobby MoffettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin AguilarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
Aguilar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Zubaira TukhugovRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03