METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
Los Angeles, USA
28 Feb 2015
Welterweight
VS
48%
Ellenberger
52%
Koscheck
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:20
★ Official Result
Jake EllenbergerwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:20
def. Josh Koscheck · UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Koscheck
→
Actual result
Ellenberger wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ellenberger at 48% vs Koscheck at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ellenberger has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ellenberger's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Koscheck has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EllenbergerKoscheck
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
41+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
16.9
45.7
Performance Avg
50.5
45
Quality of Victory
44
56
Momentum Score
59
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
25/28 fights
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ellenberger
Koscheck
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
EllenbergerKoscheck
Strike Zones
Ellenberger
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedKoscheck
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ellenberger targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Koscheck targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ellenberger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ellenberger
RND
Koscheck
0/0R00/0
Ellenberger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ellenberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bryan BarberenaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R2
Mike PerryRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05