METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Lightweight
VS
83%
Riley
17%
Brammer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aaron RileywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Brammer · UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Riley
→
Actual result
Riley wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Riley is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Riley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Riley's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RileyBrammer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riley
Brammer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
45
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riley
Brammer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
2.4
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Riley
Brammer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
4
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
7Clinch1
3Ground0
Riley
Brammer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riley
Brammer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/44 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Riley
Brammer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Riley
Brammer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riley
Brammer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RileyBrammer
Strike Zones
Riley
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBrammer
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riley targets the head (59% of attacks) — Brammer absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Brammer targets the head (75% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riley
RND
Brammer
0/0R00/0
Riley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin SalasDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · R1
Tony FergusonUFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Joe BrammerDecision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · R2
Ross PearsonUFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Shane NelsonDecision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Brammer · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyDecision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Mark BocekSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12