METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Lightweight
VS
83%
Riley
17%
Brammer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aaron RileywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Brammer · UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Riley
→
Actual result
Riley wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Riley is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Riley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Riley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Riley's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RileyBrammer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riley
Brammer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
45
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riley
Brammer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
2.4
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Riley
Brammer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
24%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
4
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
7Clinch1
3Ground0
Riley
Brammer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riley
Brammer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/44 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Riley
Brammer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Riley
Brammer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riley
Brammer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RileyBrammer
Strike Zones
Riley
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBrammer
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riley targets the head (59% of attacks) — Brammer absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Brammer targets the head (75% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riley
RND
Brammer
0/0R00/0
Riley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Brammer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Riley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin SalasRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · R1
Tony FergusonRating 4.5UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Joe BrammerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · R2
Ross PearsonRating 4.8UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Shane NelsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Brammer · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Mark BocekRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12