UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
77%
Hill
23%
Stosic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
Hill is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill
Stosic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
76"
35
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hill
Stosic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
18.1
54.2
Performance Avg
46.0
50
Quality of Victory
60
92
Momentum Score
29
Hill
Stosic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
4
Body
0
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Hill
Stosic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Stosic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Hill
Stosic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
29
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Hill
Stosic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Stosic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HillStosic
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedStosic
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (45% of attacks) — Stosic absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Stosic targets the head (70% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Stosic
0/0R00/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Stosic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
Stosic · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Jeremy KimballRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
