UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Welterweight
VS
52%
Chiesa
48%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
20 – 7
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw38 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chiesa

This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 52% vs Magny at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Chiesa
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+80"
38
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
47.5
53.3
Performance Avg
47.4
43
Quality of Victory
36
50
Momentum Score
75
Chiesa
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Chiesa
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
9
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
6
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Chiesa
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
75
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Chiesa
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
42%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
9
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chiesa
Magny
Striking1.4 / 4.2Volume4.6 / 6.0Grappling5.8 / 2.4Wrestling4.0 / 1.7Submission6.0 / 1.3Pressure6.3 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Chiesa
Strike Zones
Magny
Chiesa
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the body (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chiesa
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Chiesa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W2.8L5.2W4.5W4.8L4.5W5.7W6.2W1.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W4.7W5.1W3.0L6.6L2.1L5.5W6.1W4.7W5.7W2012-062015-042019-072024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
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W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Submission
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W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5
Submission
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L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
Submission
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Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Michael Chiesa · Neil Magny
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