UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Bantamweight
VS
75%
Wood
25%
Ewell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:12

CFR 51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wood
Wood is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ewell has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wood
Ewell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wood
Ewell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
16.9
50.2
Performance Avg
32.8
31
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
35
Wood
Ewell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Wood
Ewell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Ewell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Wood
Ewell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
35
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Wood
Ewell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wood
Ewell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
WoodEwell
Strike Zones
Wood
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedEwell
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ewell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wood
RND
Ewell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wood · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Ewell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Wood · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Losene KeitaRating 4.5Decision
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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
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Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Ewell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02