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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Bantamweight
VS
74%
Wood
26%
Ewell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:12
Nathaniel
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
236
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
AE
Andre Ewell
"Mr. Highlight"
179
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'8"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Nathaniel WoodwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:12
def. Andre Ewell · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wood
Actual result
Wood wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Wood is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ewell has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WoodEwell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Wood
Ewell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wood
Ewell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.3
16.9
48.1
Performance Avg
32.8
31
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
35
Wood
Ewell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
1.3
7.3
Style: Volume
8.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Wood
Ewell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wood
Ewell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Wood
Ewell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Wood
Ewell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood
Ewell
Striking1.5 / 0.9Volume7.3 / 8.9Grappling3.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.7Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Wood
Strike Zones
Ewell
Wood
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Ewell
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ewell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood
RND
Ewell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Wood · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pavel Andrusca
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Losene Keita
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose Delgado
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Morgan Charriere
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Pineda
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Ewell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles Jourdain
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Julio Arce
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Chris Gutierrez
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin Rivera
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan Martinez
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Andre Ewell
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