UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Heavyweight
VS
24%
Silva
76%
Arlovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Arlovski throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
82"+
Reach
77"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
49.1
47.0
Performance Avg
50.5
58
Quality of Victory
47
26
Momentum Score
94
Silva
Arlovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
2
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance8
1Clinch1
0Ground4
Silva
Arlovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/31 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Silva
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
94
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
48%
3
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Arlovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
SilvaArlovski
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedArlovski
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (33% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (62% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Roy NelsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R2
Soa PaleleiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
