UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
5%
Marques
95%
Till
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Till
Till is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Till has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Till has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marques's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Marques
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
Reach
74"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marques
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
30.5
0.0
Performance Avg
44.3
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
35
Marques
Till
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
29%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Marques
Till
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marques
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/39 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Marques
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Marques
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marques
Till
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
MarquesTill
Strike Zones
Marques
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTill
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Till targets the head (77% of attacks) — Marques absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marques
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
Marques · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Till · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Marques · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Darren TillRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03