The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
87%
Riddle
13%
Rivera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
Matthew Riddle
"Deep Waters"
8 – 3
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw40 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 18
DR
Dante Rivera
16 – 7
Well-Rounded51 yrsSouthpaw6'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Riddle

Riddle is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Riddle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Striking split: Riddle throws more volume but Rivera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Riddle
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
40+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Riddle
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
2.7
45.6
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
88
Momentum Score
0
Riddle
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
63%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
3
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
4Clinch3
6Ground0
Riddle
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Riddle
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/23 fights
Riddle
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Riddle
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Riddle
Rivera
Striking2.8 / 0.0Volume7.1 / 0.0Grappling1.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Riddle
Strike Zones
Rivera
Riddle
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Riddle targets the head (73% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the body (80% of attacks) — Riddle absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Riddle
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0

Riddle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W2008-062009-112010-122012-11
WinLossTrend

Riddle · Last 5

Upcoming
Che Mills
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
Upcoming
Chris Clements
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09

Rivera · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06

News & Media

Matthew Riddle · Dante Rivera
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