UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Pokrajac
51%
Beltran
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Beltran
This is a genuine toss-up — Pokrajac at 49% vs Beltran at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Beltran throws more volume but Pokrajac connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pokrajac's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Beltran has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pokrajac
Beltran
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pokrajac
Beltran
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
14.9
43.2
Performance Avg
39.3
50
Quality of Victory
43
33
Momentum Score
33
Pokrajac
Beltran
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
34%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance8
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Pokrajac
Beltran
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pokrajac
Beltran
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/41 fights
Chin rating based on
10/31 fights
Pokrajac
Beltran
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
33
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pokrajac
Beltran
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pokrajac
Beltran
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
PokrajacBeltran
Strike Zones
Pokrajac
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedBeltran
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pokrajac targets the head (85% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Beltran targets the head (83% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pokrajac
RND
Beltran
0/0R00/0
Pokrajac · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Beltran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pokrajac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
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L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Ryan JimmoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey BeltranUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor PokrajacUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
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