UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
61%
Souza
39%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LS
Livinha Souza
"The Brazilian Gangsta"
14 – 4
5'3"63" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
RM
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
11 – 12
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Souza

Souza holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Markos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Markos throws more volume but Souza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Souza
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
63"
Reach
63"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
16.7
40.8
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
29
63
Momentum Score
15
Souza
Markos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
30
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance19
0Clinch6
1Ground7
Souza
Markos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
60
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Souza
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Souza
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Markos
Striking1.0 / 0.8Volume6.3 / 7.7Grappling4.3 / 3.2Wrestling3.0 / 2.2Submission3.3 / 1.4Pressure3.8 / 2.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Souza
Strike Zones
Markos
Souza
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD1BODY1LEGS32 absorbed
Markos
Attacking
30HEAD1BODY1LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (83% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (94% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.6L5.5L2018-092019-022019-072020-082021-032021-10
WinLossTrend

Markos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.6L4.5W5.5L4.5W1.5L4.8W6.7L4.5W5.5L5.1W5.5L4.5W5.6L2.7L5.5L4.0L4.5W2014-122017-022019-072021-052021-10
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Amanda LemosRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Brianna FortinoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Sarah FrotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Markos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

News & Media

Livinha Souza · Randa Markos
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