METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
61%
Souza
39%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LS
CFR 26
★ Official Result
Randa MarkoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Livinha Souza · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Souza
→
Actual result
Markos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Souza holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Markos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Markos throws more volume but Souza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaMarkos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
63"
Reach
63"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
16.7
40.8
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
29
63
Momentum Score
15
Souza
Markos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
30
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance19
0Clinch6
1Ground7
Souza
Markos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
60
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Souza
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Souza
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Markos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
SouzaMarkos
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedMarkos
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (83% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (94% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Souza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Amanda LemosRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Brianna FortinoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Sarah FrotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03