METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2008
Lightweight
VS
47%
Griffin
53%
Aurelio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tyson GriffinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marcus Aurelio · UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aurelio
→
Actual result
Griffin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 47% vs Aurelio at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Aurelio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinAurelio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Aurelio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
53
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Aurelio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
18.4
42.3
Performance Avg
47.5
32
Quality of Victory
57
75
Momentum Score
33
Griffin
Aurelio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
8.0
7.1
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
5
10
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
36Distance5
2Clinch1
2Ground0
Griffin
Aurelio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Aurelio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Griffin
Aurelio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
33
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Griffin
Aurelio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Aurelio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
GriffinAurelio
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAurelio
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (57% of attacks) — Aurelio absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Aurelio targets the head (83% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Aurelio
0/0R00/0
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiKO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiKO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Aurelio · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Hermes FrancaDecision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Tyson GriffinDecision
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R1
Ryan RobertsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Luke CaudilloKO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11