UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
81%
Krylov
19%
Barroso
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:11
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
6'3"77" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 60
FB
Francimar Barroso
"Bodao"
19 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krylov

Krylov is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Krylov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Krylov
Barroso
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
34+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Barroso
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
13.8
52.7
Performance Avg
35.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
55
Krylov
Barroso
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
5
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
5Clinch1
19Ground1
Krylov
Barroso
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Barroso
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Krylov
Barroso
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Krylov
Barroso
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krylov
Barroso
Striking5.3 / 1.0Volume2.5 / 9.0Grappling3.7 / 2.4Wrestling2.6 / 1.7Submission4.2 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Krylov
Strike Zones
Barroso
Krylov
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Barroso
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Barroso absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Barroso targets the head (75% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krylov
RND
Barroso
0/0R00/0

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Barroso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L4.5W5.6L5.5L2013-082015-052016-052017-092018-01
WinLossTrend

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

Barroso · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Upcoming
Darren Stewart
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Nikita KrylovRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

News & Media

Nikita Krylov · Francimar Barroso
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