UFC 72: Victory
Belfast, United Kingdom
16 Jun 2007
Welterweight
VS
88%
Hazelett
12%
Lynch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:50
DH
Dustin Hazelett
"McLovin"
12 – 7
6'1"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
SL
Stevie Lynch
5 – 2
Well-RoundedNaNOrthodox5'10"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hazelett

Hazelett is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hazelett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Striking split: Lynch throws more volume but Hazelett connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hazelett's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hazelett
Lynch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
40
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hazelett
Lynch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
2.5
48.4
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
69
Momentum Score
0
Hazelett
Lynch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
25%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance7
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Hazelett
Lynch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hazelett
Lynch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Hazelett
Lynch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Hazelett
Lynch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hazelett
Lynch
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume2.6 / 0.0Grappling6.9 / 0.0Wrestling4.8 / 0.0Submission8.0 / 0.0Pressure7.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hazelett
Strike Zones
Lynch
Hazelett
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Lynch
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hazelett targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lynch absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Lynch targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hazelett absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hazelett
RND
Lynch
0/0R00/0

Hazelett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.0W1.5L2.8L1.5L2006-102007-092008-112010-12
WinLossTrend

Hazelett · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Mark BocekRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · KO · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · KO · R1
Paul DaleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01
W · Sub · R1
Tamdan McCroryRating 5
Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Sub · R2
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06

Lynch · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 72: Victory · 2007-06

News & Media

Dustin Hazelett · Stevie Lynch
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