UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Hardy
51%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lee
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 49% vs Lee at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+69"
30+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
43.1
38.5
Performance Avg
35.8
31
Quality of Victory
36
55
Momentum Score
53
Hardy
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch4
1Ground5
Hardy
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Hardy
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
53
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hardy
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
HardyLee
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLee
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (56% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (47% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brogan WalkerRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
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