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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Vieira
53%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ketlen
Ketlen Vieira
"Fenomeno"
16 – 5
5'8"68" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Raquel
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16 – 10
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 47
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ketlen Vieira · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Vieira at 47% vs Pennington at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VieiraPennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vieira
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
46.8
43.7
Performance Avg
46.8
28
Quality of Victory
32
45
Momentum Score
80
Vieira
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
9
0
Body
12
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
16Distance14
4Clinch11
0Ground0
Vieira
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Vieira
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
80
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Vieira
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
23%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vieira
Pennington
Striking1.3 / 1.4Volume8.5 / 7.5Grappling3.0 / 3.7Wrestling2.1 / 2.6Submission1.0 / 2.3Pressure2.7 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Vieira
Strike Zones
Pennington
Vieira
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD12BODY4LEGS25 absorbed
Pennington
Attacking
9HEAD12BODY4LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (80% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the body (48% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vieira
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0

Vieira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W2.3L4.5W5.6L5.4W4.6W6.1L4.5W7.6L5.8W6.0L5.4W2016-102019-122022-052025-052026-05
WinLossTrend

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L6.0W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.2L6.7L5.3W5.6L4.5W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.9W5.1W7.0L2013-112016-042019-072022-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Vieira · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Kayla HarrisonRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Ketlen Vieira · Raquel Pennington
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