METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
31%
Rua
69%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:29
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:29
def. Mauricio Rua · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Smith holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Rua has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RuaSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rua
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
76"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
58.3
49.7
Performance Avg
50.7
51
Quality of Victory
50
46
Momentum Score
100
Rua
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
3.1
Style: Volume
2.3
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
1
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rua
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Rua
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Rua
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
77%
8
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
RuaSmith
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSmith
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (91% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12