The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jun 2007
Lightweight
VS
88%
Wiman
12%
Geraghty
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wiman
Wiman is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Wiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wiman
Geraghty
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wiman
Geraghty
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
2.2
46.3
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Wiman
Geraghty
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
25%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch1
20Ground0
Wiman
Geraghty
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Geraghty
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/44 fights
Wiman
Geraghty
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Wiman
Geraghty
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wiman
Geraghty
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WimanGeraghty
Strike Zones
Wiman
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGeraghty
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wiman targets the head (90% of attacks) — Geraghty absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Geraghty targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wiman
RND
Geraghty
0/0R00/0
Wiman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Wiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Geraghty · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale · 2007-06