UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Flyweight
VS
67%
Dodson
33%
Makovsky
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dodson
Dodson holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Makovsky has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Dodson throws more volume but Makovsky connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Dodson
Makovsky
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dodson
Makovsky
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
10.7
50.7
Performance Avg
32.1
45
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
15
Dodson
Makovsky
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
3
Body
4
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance10
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Dodson
Makovsky
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Makovsky
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Dodson
Makovsky
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dodson
Makovsky
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dodson
Makovsky
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
DodsonMakovsky
Strike Zones
Dodson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMakovsky
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Makovsky absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Makovsky targets the head (33% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dodson
RND
Makovsky
0/0R00/0
Dodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Makovsky · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dodson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Makovsky · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 5.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08