UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
27 Aug 2011
Lightweight
VS
50%
Tavares
50%
Fisher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:51
TT
Thiago Tavares
21 – 7
5'7"70" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SF
Spencer Fisher
"The King"
24 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tavares

This is a genuine toss-up — Tavares at 50% vs Fisher at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Fisher throws more volume but Tavares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fisher has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tavares
Fisher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tavares
Fisher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
17.7
48.8
Performance Avg
43.8
42
Quality of Victory
38
81
Momentum Score
89
Tavares
Fisher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Tavares
Fisher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Fisher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/33 fights
Tavares
Fisher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
89
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tavares
Fisher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Fisher
Striking2.2 / 3.3Volume4.4 / 4.6Grappling5.0 / 2.8Wrestling3.5 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 2.2Pressure6.0 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Tavares
Strike Zones
Fisher
Tavares
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Fisher
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (86% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tavares
RND
Fisher
0/0R00/0

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.4L5.5W3.3L2007-042008-092012-012015-112016-07
WinLossTrend

Fisher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2005-102007-012009-062011-082012-06
WinLossTrend

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

Fisher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

News & Media

Thiago Tavares · Spencer Fisher
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