UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Austin, USA
2 Dec 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
50%
Tate
50%
Avila
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:15
Miesha
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
20 – 10
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Julia
Julia Avila
"Raging Panda"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tate

This is a genuine toss-up — Tate at 50% vs Avila at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Avila throws more volume but Tate connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tate
Avila
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Avila
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
51.5
42.5
Performance Avg
46.0
38
Quality of Victory
43
94
Momentum Score
53
Tate
Avila
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tate
Avila
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tate
Avila
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Tate
Avila
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Tate
Avila
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tate
Avila
Striking2.4 / 4.3Volume5.6 / 3.7Grappling3.7 / 3.5Wrestling2.6 / 2.4Submission2.9 / 3.3Pressure4.5 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tate
RND
Avila
0/0R00/0

Tate · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.0L2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.6W2.7L6.1L5.5W5.9L6.3L6.3W5.6L2013-042015-012016-112023-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Avila · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.8W4.9L6.4L2019-072020-062020-092021-062023-122025-02
WinLossTrend

Tate · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07

Avila · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Gina MazanyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06

News & Media

Miesha Tate · Julia Avila
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