METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Middleweight
VS
18%
Fabinski
82%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:00
★ Official Result
Gerald MeerschaertwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:00
def. Bartosz Fabinski · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Meerschaert
→
Actual result
Meerschaert wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Meerschaert is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Fabinski's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FabinskiMeerschaert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.6
56.7
35.0
Performance Avg
48.2
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
91
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
8.4
9.0
Style: Volume
0.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
9.2
0
Submission wins
11
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fabinski
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
FabinskiMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Fabinski
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fabinski targets the body (67% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (88% of attacks) — Fabinski absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fabinski
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
Fabinski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Emil MeekDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Hector UrbinaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausSubmission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11